MH370 - You Knew All Along, Right?

When the news came out about MH370 going off radar, it was assumed by most, rightly, that it had crashed. When a plane disappears and doesn’t arrive within hours of its due time, it only makes sense that it has gone down somewhere.

But these thoughts and fears were heavy at a point EARLY ON. Think back to other emerging news story of import. How many of them changed significantly as new information came available? Most of them did, right?

Now, when the story came out that the transponder stopped transmitting, yet the craft continued on, my first thought was, “Somebody turned it off, on purpose. Otherwise, they would be on the radio advertising their problem, or at least responding to calls.” I could not imagine a scenario where the plane would continue to fly with all communications shut down, outside of a hijacking or pilot theft. How would I have known that the plane had not simply blown to bits, or plunged into the ocean like a dart? No debris. I don’t care how quickly a plane hits the water, or how widely its high altitude debris has dispersed, things from a large passenger liner float.  Seat cushions. Cabin insulation. Carpet. plastic bags. Bodies….

But nothing was found in the first couple days. That’s not unusual for some crashes. The French plane that pancaked in the south Atlantic was found after what, 7 or 10 days? But there were debris floating about…. Finding the aircraft on the bottom was a quick affair, given the circumstances.

What has this to do with prepping? I’m making a stretch here, using MH370 as an unfortunate example of first impressions. You might have all kinds of ideas when presented with an unexpected circumstance. Most will be wrong, and you might not immediately have one of those gut feelings – but at some point you WILL. That gut of yours will present some possibilities. Practice reviewing what your instinct tells you. Sometimes you will get a crazy idea that hits close to the mark upon further review.

Your survival planning isn’t always something to be done well in advance of a problem. Sometimes, it is nothing more than reacting to a situation and formulating the next few immediate steps to save your butt. Your instinct, gut, “leading of the Spirit” will be in play. Practice “listening”. Don’t be afraid to follow your best leading in opposition to the few known “facts”.

So, where do I think MH370 is? Early on, I thought it might have been stolen and landed for later ransom. I still think it has been jacked, but as is the case with information that creeps in and helps to “clarify” things, I now think the attempt went wrong. I believe it is in the Indian Ocean, in pieces on the bottom, with a debris field that is now widely dispersed. I also believe it will be no longer than a week before some of the personal flotation devices are found, one at a time, across a wide debris field.

The Malaysian military has radar tracks of the aircraft diverting from its planned course and altitude, making 4 heading changes.  If they had followed their information, they could have scrambled an interceptor or two and located the airliner. It was doing what it did between 4 and 7 hours – surely enough time to locate it. They didn’t see the wild course changes as a threat. But, I’m willing to bet, someone’s gut was screaming at him. Someone had the leading to do something – and didn’t. Might it have been possible to save that plane? Who knows. When you start dealing with the minds of evil men, anything can happen. But surely, MH370 would have stood some small chance if that “someone” had acted.

Of course, gut feelings aren’t always right. I’ll be happy to hear that the plane went “feet dry” and landed. We’ll have to wait and see….

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